Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.491868 0.561197 0.633456 0.714110 0.801337 0.892558 0.994898
2024-12-15 0.414749 0.514824 0.624695 0.753157 0.898132 1.055631 1.238622
2024-12-22 0.336693 0.454567 0.590672 0.756789 0.951466 1.169949 1.431239
2024-12-29 0.294133 0.428367 0.590377 0.795386 1.043106 1.328314 1.677028
2025-01-05 0.245761 0.387763 0.567147 0.802406 1.095136 1.440285 1.870880
2025-01-12 0.206353 0.352743 0.546073 0.808262 1.143300 1.546755 2.058966
2025-01-19 0.179030 0.329953 0.537543 0.827526 1.206642 1.671334 2.269866
2025-01-26 0.158151 0.313164 0.534611 0.852304 1.276075 1.803500 2.491216
2025-02-02 0.140086 0.297856 0.531662 0.875587 1.342889 1.932573 2.709925
2025-02-09 0.117809 0.272435 0.511454 0.872984 1.374176 2.016040 2.872021
2025-02-16 0.102887 0.256865 0.503967 0.886794 1.426556 2.126331 3.068419
2025-02-23 0.086434 0.235830 0.485929 0.883694 1.454760 2.204744 3.224453
2025-03-02 0.067932 0.207833 0.454700 0.859893 1.454111 2.246220 3.335407
2025-03-09 0.058911 0.196883 0.450106 0.875273 1.508187 2.360655 3.541941
2025-03-16 0.046891 0.176832 0.428009 0.862141 1.520606 2.418870 3.675429
2025-03-23 0.042571 0.173388 0.434476 0.893625 1.597727 2.565381 3.926375
2025-03-30 0.035126 0.160499 0.422569 0.894816 1.630090 2.650866 4.097207
2025-04-06 0.028931 0.149038 0.412016 0.897242 1.663740 2.738049 4.270756
2025-04-13 0.025095 0.143061 0.411281 0.915519 1.721063 2.858407 4.489600
2025-04-20 0.022304 0.139417 0.414687 0.940558 1.788712 2.993616 4.729318
2025-04-27 0.019735 0.135712 0.417549 0.964519 1.854901 3.127319 4.968009
2025-05-04 0.015649 0.125164 0.405107 0.961203 1.878708 3.201150 5.125786
2025-05-11 0.013231 0.119743 0.402966 0.975596 1.929918 3.314152 5.337671